Bibcode
Laken, B. A.; Kniveton, D. R.; Frogley, M. R.
Referencia bibliográfica
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Volume 10, Issue 22, 2010, pp.10941-10948
Fecha de publicación:
11
2010
Número de citas
13
Número de citas referidas
13
Descripción
The effect of the Galactic Cosmic Ray (GCR) flux on Earth's climate is
highly uncertain. Using a novel sampling approach based around observing
periods of significant cloud changes, a statistically robust
relationship is identified between short-term GCR flux changes and the
most rapid mid-latitude (60°-30° N/S) cloud decreases operating
over daily timescales; this signal is verified in surface level air
temperature (SLAT) reanalysis data. A General Circulation Model (GCM)
experiment is used to test the causal relationship of the observed cloud
changes to the detected SLAT anomalies. Results indicate that the
anomalous cloud changes were responsible for producing the observed SLAT
changes, implying that if there is a causal relationship between
significant decreases in the rate of GCR flux (~0.79 GU, where GU
denotes a change of 1% of the 11-year solar cycle amplitude in four
days) and decreases in cloud cover (~1.9 CU, where CU denotes a change
of 1% cloud cover in four days), an increase in SLAT (~0.05 KU, where KU
denotes a temperature change of 1 K in four days) can be expected. The
influence of GCRs is clearly distinguishable from changes in solar
irradiance and the interplanetary magnetic field. However, the results
of the GCM experiment are found to be somewhat limited by the ability of
the model to successfully reproduce observed cloud cover. These results
provide perhaps the most compelling evidence presented thus far of a
GCR-climate relationship. From this analysis we conclude that a
GCR-climate relationship is governed by both short-term GCR changes and
internal atmospheric precursor conditions.