A number of precursor-type methods for solar-cycle prediction are based on the use of regression models and confidence-level estimates. A drawback of these methods is that they do not permit one to make probability statements, nor do they offer straightforward ways to propagate the uncertainty from observations to the quantities of interest. We

Deriving metallicities for solar-like stars follows well-established methods, but for cooler stars such as M dwarfs, the determination is much more complicated due to forests of molecular lines that are present. Several methods have been developed in recent years to determine accurate stellar parameters for these cool stars (T eff ≲ 4000 K)