Bibcode
Laken, B. A.; Kniveton, Dominic; Wolfendale, Arnold
Bibliographical reference
Journal of Geophysical Research, Volume 116, Issue D9, CiteID D09201
Advertised on:
5
2011
Citations
0
Refereed citations
0
Description
Changes in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux due to variations in solar
activity may provide an indirect connection between the Sun's and the
Earth's climates. Epoch superpositional (composite) analyses of
high-magnitude GCR fluctuations, known as Forbush decrease (FD) events,
have been widely used to test this hypothesis, with varied results. This
work provides new information regarding the interpretation of this
approach, suggesting that FD events do not isolate the impacts of GCR
variations from those of solar irradiance changes. On average,
irradiance changes of ˜0.4 W m-2 outside the atmosphere
occur around 2 days in advance of FD-associated GCR decreases. Using
this 2 day gap to separate the effects of irradiance variations from GCR
variations on cloud cover, we demonstrate small, but statistically
significant, anomalous cloud changes occurring only over areas of the
Antarctic plateau in association with the irradiance changes, which
previous workers had attributed to GCR variations. Further analysis of
the sample shows that these cloud anomalies occurred primarily during
polar darkness, precluding the possibility of a causal link to a direct
total solar irradiance effect. This work suggests that previous FD-based
studies may have ineffectively isolated the impacts of GCR variations on
the Earth's atmosphere.