Bibcode
Cerviño, M.; Valls-Gabaud, D.; Luridiana, V.; Mas-Hesse, J. M.
Bibliographical reference
Astronomy and Astrophysics, v.381, p.51-64 (2002)
Advertised on:
1
2002
Journal
Citations
108
Refereed citations
91
Description
In terms of statistical fluctuations, stellar population synthesis
models are only asymptotically correct in the limit of a large number of
stars, where sampling errors become asymptotically small. When dealing
with stellar clusters, starbursts, dwarf galaxies or stellar populations
within pixels, sampling errors introduce a large dispersion in the
predicted integrated properties of these populations. We present here an
approximate but generic statistical formalism which allows a very good
estimation of the uncertainties and confidence levels in any integrated
property, bypassing extensive Monte Carlo simulations, and including the
effects of partial correlations between different observables. Tests of
the formalism are presented and compared with proper estimates. We
derive the minimum mass of stellar populations which is required to
reach a given confidence limit for a given integrated property. As an
example of this general formalism, which can be included in any
synthesis code, we apply it to the case of young (t <= 20 Myr)
starburst populations. We show that, in general, the UV continuum is
more reliable than other continuum bands for the comparison of models
with observed data. We also show that clusters where more than
105 Msun have been transformed into stars have a
relative dispersion of about 10% in Q(He+) for ages smaller
than 3 Myr. During the WR phase the dispersion increases to about 25%
for such massive clusters. We further find that the most reliable
observable for the determination of the WR population is the ratio of
the luminosity of the WR bump over the Hβ luminosity. A fraction of
the observed scatter in the integrated properties of clusters and
starbursts can be accounted for by sampling fluctuations.